Friday, January 28, 2011

Making Easy Money






Yesterday's announcement that Google's Eric Schmidt will be handing the CEO reins back to co-founder Larry Page came as a shock, but with the company's aura of invincibility fading, and its core business showing signs of age, the time was right for a change. There was "an example every hour," of how triumvirate decision-making by Schmidt, Page, and co-founder Segrey Brin was hurting the company, Schmidt said. If Google wants to assure investors and consumers that rumors of its looming insignificance have been greatly exaggerated, there are a few key things that Larry has to do.



No. 1: Fix Search

Google's cash cow is its online-search advertising business, but the search results are starting to look awfully spammy. Between content farms that flood the Internet with meaningless search bait and black hat optimizers that use sleazy tricks to get top results, there are entire industries devoted to gaming Google's algorithms.



People who depend on Google for their livelihood have started to notice, and consumers are showing signs of getting antsy: There is a reason Microsoft's Bing quickly picked up 12 percent of the search market, and it's not because of its Gossip Girl product placements, or even vastly superior search results. Google has also drawn some ill will with an aggressive, some say illegal, tendency to push its own services to the top of the page.



It looks like Larry gets the seriousness of the problem. Friday, on day one of his regime, Google acknowledged the issue in a blog post, even as it downplayed its severity. "Reading through some of these recent articles, you might ask whether our search quality has gotten worse," said principal engineer Matt Cutts. "The fact is that we’re not perfect, and combined with users’ skyrocketing expectations of Google, these imperfections get magnified in perception. However, we can and should do better."



It will take more than a wonky breakdown, but it's a start.



No. 2: Find Growth

The aforementioned cash cow is still so lucrative that it's easy to forget that Google has never really succeeded in any other business. Despite the ubiquity of Gmail and YouTube, they are not yet successful stand-alone businesses. YouTube only recently made it into the black after incurring hundreds of million of dollars in losses over the years.



It's not like Google isn't aware of the problem. Witness the frenzied diversification into anything that looks hot: cars that drives themselves, social networks, and yesterday's long-expected news of a Groupon clone. But trying everything hasn't produced much of anything.



Larry needs to ditch the side projects and focus on the most promising ones: the Android mobile-phone operating system, and the mobile ad network AdMob, which even makes money from iPhones as it serves up 2 billion ads a day.



No. 3: Stop the Brain Drain

Here's an enigma for Larry to unravel: Why does a company with five-star chefs, high-tech nap pods, and free massages have to throw millions of dollars in cash money at employees to get them to stay?



Part of the problem is Google's convoluted management structure, which Page is clearly trying to fix. If a team has been working on an amazing project for a year, only to hear that it overlaps with someone else's pet project, who wouldn't want to jump ship? But it also has to do with Google's size and a potentially fatal inability to face up to an unpleasant reality. From what we hear, there's reluctance from some of the old guard to accept that Google is a massive corporation now.



There is a major intangible at play as well, something that may not be easy for someone who is more Chief Engineer than Chief Executive to grapple with. If the ambitious go-getters that make it through Google's onerous interview process sense that the cool, sexy projects are happening at Facebook, Apple, or some stealth VC project with no name, then no amount of money is going to keep them on side, no matter how big a money truck Google backs up to their cubicle.



Which leads to....



No. 4: Consider a Personality Transplant



Tech bloggers were smitten with Eric Schmidt, but for all the wrong reasons. Sure, he grew Google into a $200 billion behemoth, but he also had a weakness for creepy Big Brother jokes delivered so dryly that no one could be sure he was joking. Contrast that with the controlling and charismatic Steve Jobs, surely one of the best salesmen in modern history, with a reality distortion field that may have made enemies but also bestowed an ineffable cool on his entire company.



Larry, by all accounts, makes Eric Schmidt look like Steve Jobs.



Ken Auletta explains:



He is a very private man, who often in meetings looks down at his hand-held Android device, who is not a comfortable public speaker, who hates to have a regimented schedule, who thinks it is an inefficient use of his time to invest too much of it in meetings with journalists or analysts or governments. As C.E.O., the private man will have to become more public.



Google's engineer-driven approach to new products has been a long-standing problem. (Google Wave, anybody?) Unlike Apple, it seems to build for engineers and developers, not consumers. That's great when you're making an open source mobile platform like Android, which is hot on the iPhone's tail due to its openness and potential ubiquity across multiple carriers and devices. It's not so great when you made everyone on Gmail opt into Google Buzz ’ or for creating fanboys and girls who want to use your products, even if they have to anyway.



Either way, Larry, you're going to need some charm to lend Google the same cool factor it had last time you were in charge. Maybe start by looking up from your Android phone every once in a while.




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Fox News personality and former Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) recently began appearing in television commercials calling for viewers to dial a 1-800 number to sign a repeal petition against health reform called “Repeal It Now.” The ad, a “project of Restore America’s Voice” (RAV), a political action committee run by Huckabee’s friend Ken Hoagland, also directs viewers to a website that solicits donations [...]


According to disclosures filed with the FEC, RAV’s campaign is managed by a firm called the 949 Media Group. 949 has been paid tens of thousands of dollars to set up RAV’s website and Google search optimization, and receives a regular commission of $10,000 for related media work from RAV. ThinkProgress spoke to a representative from RAV, who told us that 949 is run by an individual named Derek Oberholtzer. According to the representative, Oberholtzer has worked with RAV since the PAC formed in October.


Oberholtzer is well known as scam artist who has used a myriad of tricks to defraud people out of their money. In addition to 949 Media Group, he started a number of companies, including “Apply 2 Save” (A2S) and Giant Media Works. Consumer report websites are rife with complaints about Oberholtzer’s odious business practices. In one scheme, Oberholtzer paid for radio and other advertisements telling distressed homeowners to contact his company A2S to pay a flat $595 fee to receive assistance in renegotiating their loans or to block a bank foreclosure. The Federal Trade Commission has prosecuted Oberholtzer for deceptive practices. In numerous cases, Oberholtzer took the $595 payment, and never did anything to stop a foreclosure or even contact the mortgage company in question. In many instances he continued billing his customers further fees totaling nearly $1,000 without lifting a finger to actually renegotiate their mortgage or halt a foreclosure, as his “Apply 2 Save” company promised.




Often borrowers are confused about who actually owns their mortgage loan and who services their loan. This is certainly confusing for many home owners, because their bills are usually sent from a servicer not the actual investor who owns the loan. So companies like Bank of America, JP Morgan and Chase and many others may have their logo on the statement, but may not actually own the mortgage. Most mortgages are sold to investors as investments and usually get bundled together and sold off. That is why if you are in foreclosure and your notice is from Bank of New York or some other company and not the same company who sends you your mortgage statements this is the reason why.


So how does a new fee schedule going to affect you? For one thing it may actually be better for you because it may give the servicers the incentive they need to actually help struggling homeowners. Hence one of the main reasons why a lot of borrower’s are not getting the assistance they need. Some consumer advocates and some industry regulators say mortgage servicers do not have enough incentives to modify mortgage loans. Well, what a minute? Doesn’t the government’s Home Affordable program give the servicer about $1000 for every loan that they modify? That certainly seems like a good enough incentive doesn’t it?


Insiders say that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will enter into an initiative with the Department of Housing and Urban Development to consider new rules for mortgage servicers. Since they are the two biggest mortgage buyers and dominate the mortgage market, it is safe to say they will certainly set the industry standard. The housing market has been tossed around like a child tossing a wet noodle. Between bad loans, mortgage fraud, and now foreclosure fraud, it is no wonder home owners are sitting on the edge biting their nails wondering what else could possibly be tossed at them. According to Edward DeMarco, the acting director of Federal Housing Finance Authority (FHFA), the current compensation for loan servicers was not designed for our now current real estate market. Any new compensation structure would not take place until late 2012 as the agency will be seeking input from several mortgage companies.

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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Making Money With Options



Counterfeiting is an arm’s race to nowhere. An endless struggle, with both sides trying to out-wit the other. While treasuries all around the world try to find new ways to make counterfeiters sweat, and ultimately unable to make fake money, the counterfeiters in the world just need to figure out how those individuals are making new money, and copy it. There have been plenty of options in the past, like watermarks, ink that never dries, holograms, and colors that can’t be copied. But, they’ve all been figured out in one way or another. But now, thanks to thin-film transistors, it may be almost impossible for counterfeiters to get the job done.




The new technology, which is still being fleshed out, is designed to literally wrap around paper money. The thin-film transistors are made out of gold, organic molecules, and aluminum oxide. The transistors are then set into a patterned mask, and laid on top of the money. How would merchants be able to tell if it’s the real deal? Once the film is in place, there would be about 100 different organic and invisible transistors on each side of the paper note. Thanks to a small 3 volt current, the note would seem to turn “on and off.”


So instead of having to use a special marker, a person would just pass the bill over a sensor, and if it manages to generate the required voltage, the bill is real, and they can buy whatever it is they intended on purchasing. There’s no doubt that this seems like a huge step to fight counterfeiting, but let’s face it: it’s necessary. Will it solve the problem? We can probably hope it does for a long time, but it’s probably not a permanent fix.


[via TG Daily]








The big news out of a majority of state capitols is that Obamacare’s Medicaid mandates will exacerbate state budget problems and drive many states to the brink of insolvency.


Thirty-three Republican governors and governors-elect have signed a letter to the White House and Congress making an emphatic appeal that Obamacare’s Medicaid provisions be repealed.


Medicaid pays health care and long-term care expenses for certain categories of individuals. Medicaid has many problems, but the central one is that it costs taxpayers nearly $400 billion annually without providing recipients a high quality of care.


National spending on Medicaid has more than quintupled over the past two decades, and about 16 percent of the population is currently enrolled. A recent study from the University of Virginia found that Medicaid patients have worse surgical outcomes than individuals without insurance. Despite these problems, Obamacare relies heavily on the Medicaid program to reduce the number of individuals without health insurance.


Obamacare’s Medicaid mandates include a requirement that states maintain current program eligibility along with a required Medicaid expansion that is expected to increase national enrollment by around 20 million. If a state reduces eligibility for Medicaid, it will lose all its federal support for the program, which is at least half of every state’s Medicaid spending. This means a state would lose the federal tax contributions its taxpayers send to Washington that eventually return to the state in the form of Medicaid reimbursement.


“States are unable to afford the current Medicaid program, yet our hands are tied by the maintenance of effort (MOE) requirements,” the governors wrote. “The effect of the federal requirements is unconscionable; the federal requirements force governors to cut other critical state programs, such as education, in order to fund a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach to Medicaid. Again, we ask you to lift the MOE requirements so that states may make difficult budget decisions in ways that reflect the needs of their residents.”


Although the letter was signed by only Republicans, Medicaid is at least as much of a concern in blue states. For example, the new governor of New York, Andrew Cuomo, has proposed cutting $4 billion of projected spending on Medicaid (this savings will be split between the state and the federal government) to help close a $10 billion budget gap.


How will states reduce Medicaid spending, given that they are prevented from reducing program eligibility? There are two primary options: (1) reduce provider payment rates, and (2) cut program benefits. Almost all states have undertaken these actions over the past several years. Reducing payment rates decreases the number of providers who accept Medicaid recipients. Cuts to Medicaid benefits, which are often more generous than those offered by private insurance, have also occurred. The combination of these cuts will likely reduce quality of care and increase the number of recipients who head to emergency rooms for basic care.


Of course, states could keep their Medicaid programs in tact and take the scalpel to other budget items, such as education, transportation, or law enforcement, which are also being cut in many states. Or they could dramatically increase state taxes. How do these options sound?


The one option that should be off the table is a continuance of the federal Medicaid bailout, which was enacted as part of the February 2009 stimulus bill. This provision greatly increased the federal contribution toward state Medicaid spending and disproportionately benefited states with the most bloated programs. The country cannot afford to further increase the national deficit to fund the broken Medicaid entitlement. Instead of throwing more money at Medicaid, policymakers at the federal and state level should grapple with its structural problems.


Medicaid is desperately in need of reform at the federal and state levels, not expansion. States have different characteristics and priorities and need greater flexibility to tailor the Medicaid program to their own specifications. This is true of states with Republican and Democratic governors. This Congress should seriously consider the immediate budgetary concerns of the states as well as structural reforms that would improve care for beneficiaries and reduce taxpayer burden in the longer term. In fact, states should also demand greater flexibility from the federal government in terms of eligibility, benefits, cost sharing, and overall administration and management.




Source:http://removeripoffreports.net/

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Friday, January 14, 2011

Money Making Secrets






The openness and transparency WikiLeaks has given us is invaluable—which is why I’m donating $20,000 to get its founder out of jail.


Yesterday, in the Westminster Magistrates Court in London, the lawyers for WikiLeaks co-founder Julian Assange presented to the judge a document from me stating that I have put up $20,000 of my own money to help bail Mr. Assange out of jail.


Furthermore, I am publicly offering the assistance of my website, my servers, my domain names and anything else I can do to keep WikiLeaks alive and thriving as it continues its work to expose the crimes that were concocted in secret and carried out in our name and with our tax dollars.


We were taken to war in Iraq on a lie. Hundreds of thousands are now dead. Just imagine if the men who planned this war crime back in 2002 had had a WikiLeaks to deal with. They might not have been able to pull it off. The only reason they thought they could get away with it was because they had a guaranteed cloak of secrecy. That guarantee has now been ripped from them, and I hope they are never able to operate in secret again.


So why is WikiLeaks, after performing such an important public service, under such vicious attack? Because they have outed and embarrassed those who have covered up the truth. The assault on them has been over the top:


**Sen. Joe Lieberman says WikiLeaks "has violated the Espionage Act."


**The New Yorker's George Packer calls Assange "super-secretive, thin-skinned, [and] megalomaniacal."


**Sarah Palin claims he's "an anti-American operative with blood on his hands" whom we should pursue "with the same urgency we pursue al Qaeda and Taliban leaders."


**Democrat Bob Beckel (Walter Mondale's 1984 campaign manager) said about Assange on Fox: "A dead man can't leak stuff... there's only one way to do it: Illegally shoot the son of a bitch."


**Republican Mary Matalin says "he's a psychopath, a sociopath ... He's a terrorist."


**Rep. Peter A. King calls WikiLeaks a "terrorist organization."


And indeed they are! They exist to terrorize the liars and warmongers who have brought ruin to our nation and to others. Perhaps the next war won't be so easy because the tables have been turned—and now it's Big Brother who's being watched… by us!


WikiLeaks deserves our thanks for shining a huge spotlight on all this. But some in the corporate-owned press have dismissed the importance of WikiLeaks ("they've released little that's new!") or have painted them as simple anarchists ("WikiLeaks just releases everything without any editorial control!"). WikiLeaks exists, in part, because the mainstream media has failed to live up to its responsibility. The corporate owners have decimated newsrooms, making it impossible for good journalists to do their job. There's no time or money anymore for investigative journalism. Simply put, investors don't want those stories exposed. They like their secrets kept… as secrets.


I ask you to imagine how much different our world would be if WikiLeaks had existed 10 years ago. Take a look at this photo. That's Mr. Bush about to be handed a "secret" document on August 6th, 2001. Its heading read: "Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US." And on those pages it said the FBI had discovered "patterns of suspicious activity in this country consistent with preparations for hijackings." Bush decided to ignore it and went fishing for the next four weeks.





Supporters of Wikileaks founder, Julian Assange, hold posters during a protest in front of the British Embassy in Madrid, Spain on Dec. 11, 2010. (Photo: Stringer / AP Photo)


But if that document had been leaked, how would you or I have reacted? What would Congress or the FAA have done? Was there not a greater chance that someone, somewhere would have done something if all of us knew about bin Laden's impending attack using hijacked planes?











The film’s official plot synopsis follows:


Hanna (to be played by Ms. Ronan) is a teenage girl. Uniquely, she has the strength, the stamina, and the smarts of a solider; these come from being raised by her father (Mr. Bana), an ex-CIA man, in the wilds of Sweden. Living a life unlike any other teenager, her upbringing and training have been one and the same, all geared to making her the perfect assassin. The turning point in her adolescence is a sharp one; sent into the world by her father on a mission, Hanna journeys stealthily across Europe while eluding agents dispatched after her by a ruthless intelligence operative with secrets of her own (Ms. Blanchett). As she nears her ultimate target, Hanna faces startling revelations about her existence and unexpected questions about her humanity.


Seth Lochhead wrote the initial screenplay and has written subsequent drafts, as have David Farr, Joe Penhall, and Mr. Wright. Hanna will hit theaters on April 8th 2011.







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Thursday, January 13, 2011

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Monday, January 10, 2011

Making Fast Money

Mollie Vandor is the product manager for Ranker.com where she likes to make lists about reading, eating and bad-TV-watching. She’s also the media director for Girls in Tech LA. You can find her on Twitter @Mollierosev and on her blog.

Whether you’re looking to make a big change, or just tweak a few little things, the new year gives you the perfect opportunity to reflect on your behavior and resolve to do better going forward.

Of course, it’s one thing to say you want to tackle a typical resolution like get in better physical shape, get in better financial shape or — like many of us who work on the web — get your social media presence in order. It’s another thing to actually accomplish those big, broad goals.

So this year, instead of making your goals big and broad, why not take a page from the web world and use analytics to pinpoint the specific stuff you want to change? And, by that same token, why not use data tracking to hold yourself accountable for keeping all those resolutions too?

Read on for some tips on how to use social media to corral your New Year’s resolutions. Let us know in the comments below what tips worked for you, or share your own resolution advice.

Let’s Get Physical/>

There’s the freshman 15 everyone gains from collegiate pizza and beer, and then there’s the startup 15 many of us tech geeks gain from sodas and office snacks. Between the time spent sitting in front of a computer screen and the time spent networking over drinks and dinners, it’s easy to put on pounds when you work on the web. Of course, you can always try the startup diet, but that’s not necessarily going to work for everyone.

Keeping a food and exercise log might sound like a daunting task, but it turns out you may already be tracking some of that data without even knowing it. Foursquareclass="blippr-nobr">foursquare actually lets you see your entire checkin history and, if you do a quick search, you can find it so you can easily see whether you’ve really been going to the gym or frequenting your fast food runs.

Similarly, the Foursquare stats page lets you see your own checkin trends in handy graphs and lists. There’s even a site called weeplaces that lets you turn your Foursquare, Facebook Places and class='blippr-nobr'>Gowallaclass="blippr-nobr">Gowalla checkins into graphic visualizations. And, weeplaces will let you filter those visualizations by food-related checkins and parks and recreation checkins, so you can really get a handle on your history.

class='blippr-nobr'>Google Mapsclass="blippr-nobr">Google Maps also lets you search your own history, so can get a visual reminder of the places you’ve been searching for, and start picking up on trends in your own behavior. You just have to enable it. And, of course, there’s the age-old pedometer, made a lot easier and more fashionable via a host of iPhoneclass="blippr-nobr">iPhone and Androidclass="blippr-nobr">Android apps that let you easily track how much you’re walking without having to do anything more than a quick download.

Of course, once you establish the things you want to change about your eating and exercising habits, you still have to make those changes stick. class='blippr-nobr'>Appsclass="blippr-nobr">Apps like LoseIt, Weight Watchers and LiveStrong let you log calories you eat and calories you burn via your smartphone. Fitango prescribes personalized plans to help you get in shape, and gives you a forum for sharing milestones you meet with your friends. Similarly, Phitter is like a fitness-focused class='blippr-nobr'>Twitterclass="blippr-nobr">Twitter stream where people share weight loss trials, tribulations and tips to help keep each other going.

Or, you can try something like the Social Workout Challenge, which gives you fitness goals to meet and a community of people to keep you accountable for meeting them. If you really want to take your weight tracking to the next level, there’s even a scale that automatically tweets your weight to the world. While you’re at it, FixNixer and QuitMeter also give you similar tools for tracking your way out of a smoking habit, another great way to get yourself in better physical shape in the new year.

Money, Money, Money/>

For many people, the New Year is also a great time to get a fresh financial start. But again, it’s a lot easier to make changes going forward when you know how you’ve been behaving in the past. That’s where a site like Mint.com can be very handy. class='blippr-nobr'>Mintclass="blippr-nobr">Mint aggregates all of your various accounts, including credit cards, bank accounts and assets, and then turns your spending habits into easy-to-read charts and graphs that show you where you’re spending and where you could be saving. It even lets you compare your shopping and spending habits with other people in your area, so you can see how you stack up. Many credit cards, like American Express Blue and Visa Signature, also give you year-end spending summaries that show you how much you’ve spent, how much you’ve saved, how much interest you’ve accumulated and more.

Once you’ve nailed down how your money is going out the door, you can start figuring out ways to keep more of it in your wallet. Again, this is where tracking will be key to actually keeping those resolutions. First, you can establish your financial goals via an online calculator, which lets you figure out exactly how much to start saving. Once you’ve figured out your goals, there are more than 50 great, free mobile apps to help you track your spending. On Facebook, the BillMonk app will help you keep better track of those tricky situations where you’re sharing a bill with friends, and you need to make sure everyone knows what they owe. XPenser lets you record your expenses from any device, including via tweet and e-mail, and TweetWhatYouSpend gives you a forum for sharing your expenditures with everyone on Twitter, so your friends can help hold you accountable when you blow your budget shopping those post-holiday sales.

Get Your Social Media in Shape/>

Whether or not you work on the web, if you’re reading class='blippr-nobr'>Mashableclass="blippr-nobr">Mashable, chances are you have a social media presence. And, just like your physical and financial identities, your social media self might be due for a little makeover in 2011 too. The good news is that the data is even easier to find when you’re talking about your personal tech habits. For example, you can use the Top Words app to figure out the topics you talk about most on class='blippr-nobr'>Facebookclass="blippr-nobr">Facebook. Klout tells you which topics you talk about the most on Twitter, and all sorts of other stats that will help you pinpoint what it is about your social media presence that you may want to change.

Similarly, BackType analyzes your Twitter profile and tells you what percentage of your tweets are replies, retweets, links, etc. Like Klout, it also tells you who you’re influencing and who your influencers are. And, it shows you your most shared sites. All of these are great data points for determining things you’d like to change about your social media presence. Finally, ViralHeat gives you in-depth analysis of the sentiment around your various social network profiles, which really lets you hone in on how your social media behavior is being received by your followers on Facebook, Twitter and across the web.

Once you’ve established what you want to change, you can set up ViralHeat to send alerts and updates directly to your inbox so you can track the impact of those changes on the fly. Similarly, since Klout and BackType both update regularly now, you can see your statistics change as your behavior does, which is a great way to keep yourself motivated. And, of course, make sure you set up Google Alerts to track all the activity around your various accounts.

If your resolution involves blogging more often, there are plenty of apps to help you do that on the go, right from your phone. Another way to remind yourself of things you want to blog, tweet or post about is by using a service like TwittRemind, which lets you tweet yourself reminders to do things throughout the day.

To make the most of your many profiles, consider setting up a hub page via a service like about.meclass="blippr-nobr">about.me, which lets you showcase all your profiles in one place. Or, sign up for a social network aggregation service to make it easier to make changes on all your profiles at once. You also might want to consider setting up a targeted Twitter list of friends and followers who can help you hold yourself accountable and focus your social media efforts so you can minimize the number of relationships you’re managing and maximize the return you’re getting from all these changes.

New Year, New You/>

Whether your New Year’s resolutions involve getting yourself in better physical, financial or social media shape, the web can help you figure out exactly what you want to change and how you’re going to keep yourself accountable for changing it. 2011 is a brand new year and a completely fresh start, and, breaking your New Year’s resolutions is so 2010.

More Social Media Resources from Mashable:

- 10 More Creative Uses of the New Facebook Profile [PICS]/> - 10 Cool Facebook Status Tips and Tricks/> - 6 Reasons Why Social Games Are the Next Advertising Frontier/> - 3 Things Brands Must Do to Reach Millennials Online/> - How Social Media Can Help With Your Long Distance Job Search

Image courtesy of iStockphotoclass="blippr-nobr">iStockphoto, DNY59

For more Social Media coverage:

    class="f-el">class="cov-twit">Follow Mashable Social Mediaclass="s-el">class="cov-rss">Subscribe to the Social Media channelclass="f-el">class="cov-fb">Become a Fan on Facebookclass="s-el">class="cov-apple">Download our free apps for Android, Mac, iPhone and iPad








We don't have enough public market acquirers to sustain the start-up ecosystem.
That was the real back story that explains why Google failed to close a deal to buy
Groupon. Groupon wanted to
sell to Google for $6 billion. Of course they did, that is a huge amount of money – real cold hard cash – for a 2 year old
venture. Do you really think they turned that down for the vague possibility of
making more from an IPO in the distant future? Yes we all hear the stories of
visionary entrepreneurs who are such bold risk-takers and some of that is true but
most entrepreneurs don’t love risk, they love eliminating risk on the way to
building a venture.  The real story is that Groupon only backed off due to worries that the deal
would fall into AntiTrust
hurdles.



If we only have a handful of acquiring companies (basically today it is Google,
Amazon and Microsoft, now that eBay and Yahoo are wounded), the AntiTrust hurdle becomes more real. Even
if there is no AntiTrust
issue, Google, Amazon and Microsoft simply cannot buy all those venture-backed
companies.



So we need Groupon to go public and use their public
currency to buy other ventures working on local advertising/ecommerce. That will be
good news for lots of ventures. And a Groupon IPO success
will spur on other ventures that are getting ready for IPO.



I don’t know if Groupon really have the solid
financials to go public. We won’t know until they issue their prospectus to the
SEC. Until then we only have rumor and speculation. But if I were a betting man, I
would bet on Groupon being able to go public before
Twitter. And, this will be more controversial, before Facebook. But that as they say is another story. I am not trying here
to compile an actual list of ventures that could IPO in 2011. This is more about the
general environment for IPOs.



This has been what Steve Blank calls the “lost
decade” for tech IPOs. So why do I think that 2011 will be the year this
changes? There are 5 reasons:




  1. Private
    markets are under SEC scrutiny. This takes away the easy option of getting
    liquidity without either selling or going public. If you have more than 500
    shareholders you have to make your financials public, it is the law.


  2. There is a
    backlog of great companies that have the financial strength to IPO. The IPO market
    has been pretty well closed for a couple of years (some notable exceptions prove the
    rule). So the companies that have the potential to IPO have had more time to grow and
    get their act together.


  3. Investors
    are hungry for growth outside emerging markets. GDP in America and Europe seems to
    have a ceiling at 3% and the Chindia and BRIC stories of
    emerging markets growing at 8-10% has created too much capital flowing to those
    markets (generating fears of a bubble). So investors want companies in the developed
    markets that can grow at really fast pace (at least 30%, ideally 60% plus) from a
    base of at least $100m revenue for a long time to come. That has to come primarily
    from tech/media ventures.


  4. The
    macroeconomic picture is improving. Yes, there are always worries and another
    crash is always possible, but "markets always climb a wall of worry" and the general
    trends seem positive. But cycles don't last forever, so the people making these
    decisions (Boards and their Investment Bankers) will look at 2011 as a good window of
    opportunity.


  5. The bean
    counters have figured out how to live with Sarbox. For a long time, Sarbanes Oxley ("Sarbox") regulatory overhead has been seen as a reason why you cannot
    run a public company. Baloney, as they say in Brooklyn. It is a simple bit of
    operational overhead, a rounding error for a great company.



IPO is still the golden ticket. Real entrepreneurs want to IPO. Getting acquired
is a great way to build capital, but it is not the dream of the really driven,
talented entrepreneurs. There are logical reasons for this. The valuation at IPO is
usually (not always, plenty of exceptions to this rule) higher than you can get from
an M&A exit. And more importantly for the
entrepreneur, it is actually often easier to manage public market investors than a
bunch of VC with different agendas. But logical reasons be damned, an IPO is simply
the big badge of honor for the entrepreneur and the investors who back him/her.



It is not clear what we will call the decade that starts in a few days time
– the “teens” maybe – but it will possibly be one where we
get a sustainable IPO market for tech ventures. By “sustainable” I mean
that it cannot be a return to the Dot Com bubble years. Only great companies with
really solid financials will get through the IPO gate. And the valuations will have
to remain grounded in reality (short sellers will ensure that is the case).



Here’s hoping. Happy New Year folks.













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Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...


bench craft company reviews bench craft company reviews

Transfer <b>news</b>: Chelsea boss Carlo Ancelotti targets AC Milan <b>...</b>

Chelsea boss targets AC Milan striker, Aston Villa plot player swap for Newcastle star and Real Madrid warn Man United, Man City and Chelsea off defender.

Glee <b>News</b>! More Gwyneth, Cheno, AND GaGa For Season 2 <b>...</b>

Big news, Gleeks! (And possible spoilers!) The second half of Glee´s Season 2 sounds amazing!! Gwyneth Paltrow will be reprising her role as Holly Holliday for TWO episodes and sources say,...

The State <b>News</b> :: The Snyder Effect

Gov. Rick Snyder, who took office Jan. 1, repeatedly has said K-12 and higher education and retaining young people in the state are priorities for his administration. But until Snyder releases concrete numbers as part of his budget ...